Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 5.327011e-01 7.008433e-01 0.892835 1.125186 1.395701 1.697804 2.057747
2025-04-13 2.831617e-01 4.759354e-01 0.730232 1.075692 1.518617 2.054242 2.737512
2025-04-20 1.567659e-01 3.466570e-01 0.637355 1.076412 1.686594 2.471513 3.524055
2025-04-27 8.476850e-02 2.575178e-01 0.566854 1.082912 1.851876 2.892060 4.342091
2025-05-04 3.847229e-02 1.789183e-01 0.481948 1.043351 1.938693 3.207418 5.038080
2025-05-11 1.452852e-02 1.213548e-01 0.407810 0.998530 2.003162 3.487503 5.694409
2025-05-18 5.276670e-03 8.976084e-02 0.370055 1.003991 2.139247 3.871399 6.505087
2025-05-25 9.729596e-04 6.018441e-02 0.319291 0.970616 2.203285 4.147383 7.170578
2025-06-01 1.914889e-04 5.015076e-02 0.315669 1.029199 2.424914 4.668758 8.202913
2025-06-08 2.150596e-07 3.619675e-02 0.289584 1.032758 2.547606 5.040417 9.027180
2025-06-15 NaN 3.234507e-02 0.297744 1.114428 2.815632 5.648944 10.215633
2025-06-22 NaN 2.653609e-02 0.293388 1.164778 3.027759 6.174764 11.293316
2025-06-29 NaN 1.966788e-02 0.278292 1.188011 3.194863 6.642145 12.308903
2025-07-06 NaN 1.176948e-02 0.245085 1.156338 3.252796 6.933729 13.067932
2025-07-13 NaN 7.809364e-03 0.229133 1.167437 3.394845 7.368578 14.056149
2025-07-20 NaN 5.002535e-03 0.214944 1.179732 3.538781 7.809968 15.063135
2025-07-27 NaN 2.235031e-03 0.186746 1.140538 3.570871 8.060554 15.777684
2025-08-03 NaN 7.225570e-04 0.159492 1.094286 3.581548 8.271873 16.432880
2025-08-10 NaN 2.714623e-04 0.148393 1.100828 3.707288 8.687054 17.418360
2025-08-17 NaN 2.617992e-05 0.128204 1.065650 3.734909 8.927636 18.128287
2025-08-24 NaN 1.090924e-05 0.132042 1.128251 3.991608 9.585472 19.520962
2025-08-31 NaN 5.027878e-10 0.122569 1.132144 4.110545 9.996902 20.521430
2025-09-07 NaN 6.014201e-14 0.131554 1.219087 4.430919 10.781613 22.139415